Fostul Presedinte al Comisiei Europene, Romano Prodi a vorbit, intr-un interviu acordat pentru caleaeuropeana.ro, despre efectele crizei economice in Europa, esecul politicii de austeritate si ce ar trebui sa faca Sudul Europei, inclusiv Romania, fata de politica impusa de Germania. Cititi, in continuare, declaratiile lui Romano Prodi, in cadrul interviului acordat la Forumul Economic de la Astana-Kazahstan.
Romano Prodi: Criza e atat de mare si indelungata pentru ca e inca nevoie de unanimitate pentru cele mai importante decizii. Dar la nivel european nu exista un acord general. Stiti, Europa a fost intotdeauna asa dar, in ciuda progresului impresionant, e nevoie de timp pentru a o construi si astazi, Uniunea Europeana e doar pe jumatate coapta. Procesul de luare a deciziilor este foarte lent, interesele tarilor sunt diferite si nu exista un factor puternic de decizie care sa-i poata impaca pe ceilalti. Avem astazi o situatie diferita fata de trecut: nu mai avem Franta, Germania, Marea Britanie care sa decida impreuna. Avem o singura tara mult mai puternica decat toate celelalte si Germania este obsedata de inflatie.
Obsedata intr-un mod patologic?
Romano Prodi: E o pozitie intelectuala cu radacini adanci, atat de profunda incat, de la un anumit moment incolo, merge impotriva intereselor germane. Astazi, Germania este intr-o pozitie foarte speciala: are un surplus enorm in comertul exterior, inflatie aproape zero si crestere zero. E un caz tipic in care, in orice tara independenta ar trebui sa pui benzina in rezervor. Dar opinia publica germana este convinsa ca orice actiune in directia asta nu va fi in favoarea Germaniei, ci in favoarea „europenilor lenesi”, ca mine si ca tine. Deci politic nu e convenabil. Dar, totusi, eu nu inteleg aceasta pozitie. Rezultatul e o situatie absurda: toata lumea crede ca Euro e slab, ca e aproape de cadere, dar e singura valuta puternica din lume.
Cum ar trebui sa reactioneze ”europenii cei lenesi” la abordarea germana? E suficient ce spune acum Sudul?
Romano Prodi: Nu. Cred ca trebuie sa cada impreuna de acord pentru o strategie comuna. Nu pentru ca sa fie impotriva Germaniei, ci pentru ca e necesar pentru viitorul nostru. Cu un an in urma puteai spune ca exista cercetari care afirma ca austeritatea aduce mai multa crestere, ca FMI-ul spune ca austeritatea e cel mai bun medicament pentru lume. Acum avem alte cercetari care spun pur si simplu ca asta nu e adevarat. FMI-ul spune ca aplicarea austeritatii in Europa a mers prea departe si ca trebuie sa ne schimbam strategia. Nu doar Sudul trebuie sa cada de acord, caci Franta nu e Sudul. Trebuie sa cada de acord Franta, Irlanda, Italia, Spania, Romania. Ele trebuie sa prezinte o platforma comuna.
Vreti sa spuneti ca Europa e bolnava dar doctorul german a prescris doar medicamentul necesar pentru el?
Romano Prodi: Spun mai mult: ca medicamentul german nu e bun chiar si pentru Germania. E pur si simplu gresit. Punct.
Care sunt riscurile daca vom continua sa luam medicamentul acesta?
Romano Prodi: Nu e vorba de risc, ci de o realitate.
Credeti ca Comisia Europeana ar trebui sa-si schimbe abordarea?
Romano Prodi: Comisia Europeana nu are nicio putere. Puterea e in mainile statelor europene. Asta e problema. Comisia Europeana nu a luat nicio pozitie in dezbaterea aceasta, nu exista.
Participati in aceste zile la Forumul Economic de la Astana al carui subiect este somajul. Somajul in randul tinerilor in Europa a crescut foarte mult. Cum rezolvam aceasta problema?
Romano Prodi: Somajul e o consecinta a crizei. Dar este si o problema in sine. Pentru ca aceasta revolutie a comunicatiilor nu e ca cele anterioare. Cand a fost inventata masina, cei care lucrau cu caii au fost foarte nefericiti, dar in cativa ani au aparut fabrici de masini, de drumuri, rafinarii. Insa cu aceasta revolutie a comunicatiilor au disparut sute de meserii, iar slujbele nou aparute sunt mai bine platite dar si mult mai putine. In lipsa cresterii economice cum am putea avea angajati tineri, atunci cand trebuie sa crestem varsta de pensionare din cauza problemei sistemului de pensii? Stiu ca exista cateva tari europene care cauta solutii pentru a scadea somajul in randul tinerilor. Ok, sper ca vor face ceva dar, daca nu exista crestere nu exista speranta pentru tanara generatie.
Cel mai important eveniment din politica italiana a ultimilor ani este ascensiunea miscarii lui Beppe Grillo. Cum va explicati acest fenomen?
Romano Prodi: Am iesit din politica italiana, nu ma mai amestec. Pur si simplu e vorba de o schimbare in politica care nu cred ca se va limita la Italia. Exista o slabire generalizata a partidelor politice traditionale. Acum exista spatii goale si, de aceea, au aparut noi moduri de organizare a societatii. Cazul italian nu va fi unic. Mai sunt putine tari europene in care sa existe partide cu o structura [solida]. In Germania, inca exista. Dar in alte locuri aceste partide traditionale nu-i mai atrag pe tineri.
E o situatie constructiva sau distructiva?
Romano Prodi: E o situatie foarte periculoasa, dar nu stim directia in care se va indrepta. Mutarea de la partidocratie, cu toate limitele ei, catre mediacratie, mediocratie, adica democratia mass-mediei, continua.
Va referiti la videocratie?
Romano Prodi: Nu, nu. Beppe Grillo a fost cel care s-a organizat pe Internet intr-un mod foarte stiintific, iar televiziunea a fost o consecinta acestei organizari. Reteaua [lui Grillo] a fost un fenomen atat de interesant, incat televiziunea a inceput sa se ocupe de ea. Dar sa nu intram in astfel de detalii… Repet: nu cred ca acest fenomen se va rezuma la Italia.
Interviu realizat de Dan Carbunaru . Foto si video by caleaeuropeana.ro. Preluarea materialului se poate face doar cu mentionarea sursei.
Svyatoslav Anatolyevich Timashev. Collective Nobel Peace Prize 2007 – Honored Scientist of the Russian Federation
Svyatoslav A. Timashev is a member of the Interstate Council on the issue of “heavy reliability pipelines”, a member of the Scientific Council and the Dissertation Council, the American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME), the editorial boards of domestic and foreign journals and a founding member of the International Association for design reliability and safety.
Svyatoslav A. Timashev, a Russian citizen, was awarded a collective Nobel Peace Prize for developing methods of CO2 sequestration from the earth’s atmosphere and its disposal, together with a group of scientists of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, who together formed the International Meteorological Organization and the United Nations Department of Environmental Protection in 2007.
For his achievements, Svyatoslav Anatolyevich was awarded the VSNTO (All-Soviet Union Council of Technical Society) (1969), the medal “For Valorous Labour” (1970), the Expert Public Education Badge (1984), a COMADEM Magazine prize for the best publication in 2000, and was dubbed Knight of Justice – Commander of the Sovereign Order of the Orthodox Hospitaller Knights of St. John of Jerusalem.
S.A. Timashev shaped a new direction in the theory of reliability of large mechanical systems, solved the problem of optimization of the critical systems operation in multi-level governance class. He is the holder of nine copyright patents and author of more than 250 publications, including 19 monographs.
Svyatoslav Anatolyevich created software systems for the optimal management of the operation of oil and gas pipelines, three generations of industrial electronic systems of vibration protection, vibration diagnostics, tribodiagnostics and monitoring of energy machinery and equipment and is the founder of a new section in the theory of reliability monitoring.
He developed the scientific bases of the theory and a fundamentally new method for optimizing the operation of a complex object by the criteria of reliability and safety, as problems of multilevel governance of stochastic processes of degradation and recovery. These systems are used successfully in the Russian oil and gas industry, aviation, heavy engineering, metallurgy and other industries, as well as in university educational laboratories.
All these works have received wide domestic and international recognition, as evidenced by the election of S.A. Timashev as a member of the RF Academy of Quality Problems, a member of the Washington Academy of Sciences (USA) and the Fulbright Academy of Science and Technology (USA).
On July 26 the laureate S.A. Timashev celebrates his 79th birthday and the 58th anniversary of the start of science teaching career. He was born in Harbin, northeastern China, one of the main transit points for trade with Russia. He graduated with distinction from the Ural Federal University (formerly the Ural Polytechnic Institute).
From 1987 to the present time Professor Timashev has been the head of the Reliability Laboratory of the Engineering Complex Problem Division at IMET UNC AN SSSR. He is also Director and Academic Advisor at the Science and Engineering Center “Reliability and service life of large systems of machines” at UNC AN SSSR.
VIDEO Astana Economic Forum. Interview with Eric Maskin: Kazakhstan can be a force for modernization in the Eurasian region
Interview taken by Razvan Buzatu, from www.caleaeuropeana.ro, with Professor Eric Maskin, PhD, Nobel Laureate for Economics, Adams University Professor at Harvard University.
He is renown at international level for laying the foundation of mechanism design theory. During his career, he contributed to game theory, contract theory, social choice theory, political economy as well as other areas of economics.
Razvan Buzatu: Professor Maskin, thank you very much for accepting this discussion for Calea Europeana. First of all: why Astana?
Eric Maskin: Well Astana is now holding one of the big economic forums in the world so it’s a natural place for people who are interested in issues of our time to meet. So, I’m glad to be one of the many participants.
RB: Well, Astana these three or four days is becoming the center of the world, right, and speaking about economics and how the world works at this moment, how do you see Kazakhstan involved in the global economy?
EM: Kazakhstan has an interesting position economically and geographically. It’s close enough to Europe so that it has close ties there, but it’s also close to the Far East and given its pivotal location we can expect great things from Kazakhstan in the future.
RB: Do you think that it can play a regional role in the Eurasian region?
EM: I hope it does. Kazakhstan seems to be forward looking, progressive country and I think it can be a force for modernization in the Eurasian region.
RB: Professor Maskin you’ve designed a well known design mechanism theory, and I was wondering if you can share with us a little bit of your thoughts on how can design mechanism theory, involving also Kazakhstan, can have positive implications on the European Union economy and Eurasian economy.
EM: Well, mechanism design theory is all about how do you create the institutions for aligning incentives. Of course, each country has its own goals which are not necessarily exactly in alignment with other countries’ goals and it is the function of international institutions to reconcile possible conflicts, this could be done through international organizations, through treaties, through political unification, but mechanism design teaches us that is not enough to, say, write a treaty, say, to promote trade, but the treaty has to be written with care to make sure that all the countries who are going to be signing this treaty actually benefit from it and that may involve a series of concessions on both sides, concessions about giving something up but the benefits from conceding is that now you have an international institution which enables you to take more from other countries.
RB: Very interesting, I was talking a little bit earlier with the Deputy Director General of the World Trade Organization, and he said that the new Bali Package that they established in December last year was a negotiation and was a break through, it was basically a new step forward for the WTO in terms of negotiating between India and China and also Cuba and USA, and also USA and India, so they reached to some sort of an agreement, some sort of compromise so that they can benefit economically; in this sense it resembles a lot with the design mechanism theory.
EM: It does in deed and in fact I think that the principles from the theory have now permeated people’s conciseness enough so that when these treaties are hammered out mechanism design theory plays a role.
RB: I will go now to the other side of the world: I believe you know very well what happened in Ukraine at the end of last year and the begging of this year. How do you see mechanism design theory, using mechanism design theory, in establishing a balance in the actors that are involved and are interested in what the path of Ukraine will be in the future.
EM: That’s a very difficult question, if I knew how to solve the problem of Ukraine I would be able to perform miracles so I don’t have any magic bullets for solving the Ukraine problem. All I can say is that we know from theory that the answer to conflicts is not typically the way of isolation and I would be worried if as a result of the tension in the Ukraine, if Russia for example became more isolated from the rest of the world and from Europe in particular to the extent that the countries continue to communicate with one another, continue to trade with one another, continue to cooperate with one another, that’s the way that the international tensions are resolved. Breaking of communication, breaking of trade I’m afraid that’s the risk of heightening tensions even further so I very much hope that the isolation doesn’t occur.
RB: Thank you very much. The theory is that the trade, at the trade level, in the Ukraine nothing has stopped but at the political level there are tensions. How do you see these things going hand in hand because some of them said “listen, it’s a real crisis” and at the trade level they say “we know it’s a crisis but we are still functioning”.
EM: “still functioning” for the time being. I think that unless they improve politically there is bound to be an economic cost in a longer term. Eventually, there can be lags either way. Economics lead politics or the other way around but not indefinitely, ultimately the two go together.
RB: Can we use the game theory and the Nash equilibrium with your theory, integrated? Is that possible?
EM: Well in fact, my theory, mechanism design, is part of game theory and uses game theoretic tools like Nash equilibrium as part of its analysis.
RB: And do you think they should be used integrated?
RB: How do you think we can do that?
EM: How can we apply them to…
RB: a certain event around the world, any kind of event?
RB: Use the 3 theories integrated to find a possible solution, not the solution, to an event in the world.
EM: Well, the first thing is to try to make precise what the goals of each of the parties are, but to recognize that there will always be some uncertainty about that. In games theoretic term these are games of incomplete information “I may know my goals, but I will never know your goals completely so I have to recognize that I’m operating in a situation of uncertainty. But game theory has developed tools to study interactions under uncertainty. On top of that, one way of resolving uncertainty is through a mechanism which is just an institution for international interaction. So that I think is the integration that you are calling for. Looking at the initial situation which involves a conflict of interests which is not completely understood because of the incomplete information, but layering on top of that an international mechanism, a treaty, for example or a trade agreement which brings the various parties closer together in agreement in their interests.
RB: One last question if I may? Do you see the European Union as a global actor? Like becoming the United States of Europe?
EM: I hope it will move in that direction. The European Union has successfully integrated some of its economic policy, namely the monetary side, if it can work on its other side of economic policy, namely the fiscal policy, and integrate that, I think it has a chance of having a comparable force with the USA on the global scene, but without that kind of fiscal integration I’m afraid that it will never quite have its act together.
RB: Well professor Maskin, thank you very much for taking the time to talk to us. I’m Razvan Buzatu, for Calea Europeana, from Astana.
“Journalism education: from theory to practice” – I International Summit of Journalism “G-Global: World of the XXI century”
In the course of the VII Astana Economic Forum and the II World Anti-Crisis Conference “Eurasian Economic Club of Scientists” Association and “Success K” media agencyorganized a panel session on “Journalism education: from theory to practice” as part of the I International Summit of Journalism “G-Global: World of the XXI century”.
The session discussed the issues of how to organize cooperation between journalists and experts in other fields such as IT, statistics, graphic and interactive design in education, and how to transfer this experience in journalism.
The event was attended by Co-Director of National Security Journalism Initiative & Medill School of Journalism, Northwestern University, Timothy McNulty; Director General of the Channel 7, Aziza Shuzeeva; Professor, Head of the Media Communication and history of Kazakhstan Department,Aygul Niyazgulova; Managing editor of Caspian Publishing House, Charles Van Der Liu; Director of the media school at “Kazmedia center”, Dana Rysmuhamedova; Editor-in-chief, “Finanz und Wirtschaft”, Martin Gollmer; Director of Radio “Astana”,Gulmira Karakozov. The session was moderated by the Chairman of the Board RTRC “Kazakhstan” Nurjan Mukhamedzhanova.
Most people think that it is not necessary to get a special education to become a journalist. As in case that no one will be able to do the surgery except a surgeon, no one can know better the professional tricks of historian, economist, lawyer and journalist, – shared an opinion Gulmira Karakozov, Director of Radio “Astana”, in the course of the session. Therefore, I strongly against this majority opinion. In 2005, Kazakhstan had 19 high school faculties, branches and departments that prepared professionals in journalism, and half of them belonged to the philological and historical faculties. I would like to say, the capability of journalists who were trained by linguists or historians, and taught in accordance with tutorials on journalism will not be high. This is a stumbling block in the preparation of professional journalists. Students must be taught by a person who has experience practicing in the field of journalism, – she stressed.
Recall, a purpose of the I International Summit of Journalism “G-Global: World of the XXI century” was creation of an information platform for interaction of economics, global journalism and latest technologies.
First, in Astana well-known media persons, bright bloggers, leaders and representatives of the world’s largest media holdings, website developers, website editors, newspapers and magazines editors, scientists, who demonstrate their achievements in the media, media tools and technologies, tried and tested skills in building information business and economic knowledge in the field of journalism brought together.
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