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The European Commissioners’ battle: why would it interest us?

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Radu Magdin

radu-magdin-300x1992014 is the year of at least two European battles of great internal impact: on the one hand, the European Parliament elections and, on the other hand, the appointment of a new Commissioner. The two battles are related and both are very important for Romania. Moreover, the two can potentially mark a decade of a Social-Democratic (S&D/ PES) come-back to Europe‘s driver‘s seat after 15 years of European People’s Party (EPP) domination.

Why do these two battles actually matter for Romania? Because depending on their outcome, we will know who initiates EU legislation (the case for the European Commission), as well as who amends it (the case for the European Parliament). At the moment, over 70% of the laws applicable in Romania and the other 27 EU Member States are products of the EU’s law-making mechanism.

In this article, we propose an analysis on who will become the President of the European Commission, as well as who will be appointed as Commissioner on behalf of Romania.

Schulz or Juncker

There are two people with a real chance to become the President of the European executive, namely the Social-Democrat Martin Schulz, the current President of the European Parliament, respectively Jean-Claude Juncker, representing the European People’s Party, former President of the Eurogroup and former long-term Prime-Minister of Luxembourg. The battle is tight because majorities look tight both in the European Parliament (where the S&D is leading according to certain opinion polls or shares the same position as the EPP, according to others) and in the European Council (where the EPP has 12 heads of states or government, in comparison with 10 for the S&D/PES). Both the European Parliament and the Council seek to have the final word when it comes to appointing the President of the Commission. The Council relies on the tradition so far, whereas the Parliament relies on the interpretation of article 17, paragraph 7 in the Lisbon Treaty, which states the fact that the European Parliament appoints the President of the European Commission on the basis of the European Council’s proposal and taking into account the results of European elections. Nonetheless, through personalisation and nomination of “engines” for the European electoral lists, the EP manages not only to raise the general interest in the European elections, but also to somehow force the Council’s hand.

What can really happen? The least probable scenario is that either the S&D or the EPP would win by a difference of 10-15 votes from its immediate adversary. In this case, Schulz and Juncker will become President of the European Commission, but subject to harsh negotiations: if the presidency of the European Commission goes to the S&D, then the EPP would strive to gain everything else they can: the Presidency of the EU (Van Rompuy’s current position) and even a full mandate, not one split in two as it is now, at the helm of the European Parliament. The EPP Group within the EP is more likely to follow the latter interest, rather than the Council presidential position.

The most probable scenario is a tight battle between the two biggest political families, held up to the last MEP, which implies a growing negotiation power for the parties  wishing to adhere to the EPP – we‘ll see if it will be the case for the Romanian National Liberal Party. Opinion polls are not always the most representative tools, as there are 28 national variables to be taken into account. If the results turn out to be nip-and-tuck, then most probably the EPP will do anything to keep the presidency of the European Commission in order to keep drawing the general lines of the European game; this would also be a sign that the EPP managed, last minute, to stop S&D‘s European momentum in “leading Europe”.

The EC President game is influenced by other factors as well, which might seem irrelevant from the outside, but are actually very important for those who are familiar with how the “system” works. These factors result from each candidate‘s advantages and disadvantages. Schulz is a charismatic and engaged political operator, polarising and being able to establish a clear-cut political direction within the European Commission. This might not appeal to the EC “system” or the Council – Angela Merkel would see another German with high visibility at European level (and probably one with a national political agenda in mind afterwards); or to those who believe that precedents must be avoided (that one shall not hold the presidency of the EC immediately after the one of the EP). Juncker is less charismatic and rather a skilled backstage negotiator, an asset which matches with the interests of the European Commission’s inner mechanisms and of the Council‘s leaders; moreover, he is recommended by his experience in the Euro-group. After being a long-term Prime Minister, Juncker has no further domestic objective to fulfill. Coming from a small country, there is a lower risk to be perceived as a threat – if Schulz gets the EC seat, Germany might seem almighty in Europe, also formally, not just informally.

What’s in it for Romania? Romania would be a winner regardless of the finality of the “battle”, if it is indeed ready for negotiations. Both Schulz and Juncker have previously shown a friendly attitude towards Romania. Schulz has visited us more often, the fact that there is a coincidence between his political family and the Romanian Prime Minister’s one being an important advantage. Moreover, since the Romanian Social-Democratic Party, holding the executive power, will appoint the European Commissioner this autumn, it is in Schulz’s best interest to support a Romanian Social-Democratic colleague for a good portfolio in the EC. This doesn’t mean that Juncker wouldn’t be of any help, even though the fact that he is EPP and Victor Ponta is S&D. Furthermore, the “Basescu” factor shall be taken into consideration once again with this new nomination (as he has put his stamp on the previous nomination cases: Orban and Ciolos). However, being in the last two or three months of his presidential mandate (and certainly unable to renew it like it happened in 2009), he is less probable to block the nomination and more likely to pronounce himself in favour of one less hostile PSD candidate.

What part would Romania play? First of all, Schulz hopes that the PSD will succeed in gaining more votes than all the EPP parties put together (PDL + UDMR + PMP + PNTCD + FC). This is not an unrealistic objective, as all the EPP members, except for the UDMR, are canibalizing each other while running on the same political corridor. Secondly, a categorical victory at the European Parliamentary elections for the PSD will lower President Basescu’s (EPP) practical influence and possibility of action within the European Council. However, Basescu has always proved to be an unpredictable character, thus surprises might come up especially in the context of a striking lack of dialogue between the “Victoria” and the “Cotroceni” Palaces regarding European affairs.

The Romanian Commissioner. History and current aspirations.

Before starting the discussion on a Romanian Commissioner, I suggest detaching for a moment from the person-oriented perspective and starting to think primarily about portfolios of national interest. People can come afterwards and match them. Currently, EC portfolios are: agriculture and rural development; climate action; competition; development; digital agenda; economic and monetary affairs; education, culture, multilingualism and youth; employment, social affairs and inclusion; energy; enlargement and European neighbourhood policy; environment; financial programming and budget; health and consumer policy; High Representative (for Foreign Affairs); home affairs; industry and entrepreneurship; internal market and services; international cooperation, humanitarian aid and crisis response; inter-institutional relations and administration; justice, fundamental rights and citizenship; maritime affairs and fisheries; regional policy; research, innovation and science; taxation, customs, statistics, audit and anti-fraud; trade; transport.

These portfolios might suffer minor, not fundamental changes. While aiming at a commissarial position, we should also consider its utility. Do we have a certain need to satisfy? Is there a certain field we have to stimulate (not to control – a Commissioner is not invested with unlimited powers, but is rather expected to promote proposals coming from the DGs he coordinates, while adding certain political, technical or national flavours)? Should we aim for a well-funded field (although, honestly, it’s not the Commissioner who sends the stacks of European money to one country or another – he can however lobby for more budgeting within the EC) or for one with influence? Should we go for a “present-oriented” portfolio (supervising implementation of previously-approved European legislation) or for one “future-oriented” (where we would initiate legislation and subsequently have negotiation power)?

Which portfolios would count as top-portfolios? In our opinion, these would be: agriculture and rural development; digital agenda; economic and monetary affairs; energy; enlargement and the European neighbourhood policy; environment; financial programming and budget; High Representative (for Foreign Affairs); industry and entrepreneurship; internal market and services; justice, fundamental rights and citizenship; regional policy; research, innovation and science; trade; transport.

This doesn’t mean that the portfolios dedicated, for example, to education, health or social affairs, are not theoretically important (these topics certainly are), but that an European Commissioner in these field has only the competence to coordinate national policies.

If we are to look thoroughly at influence in decision-making process: agriculture has been reformed (as a result of the Romanian Commissioner’s, Dacian Cioloș, actions), in the energy sector we are rather in a state of implementation after Oettinger‘s reforms, the budget for 2014-2020 is already negotiated and so on. Hot files in law-making for 2014-2019 will be in the fields of: digital agenda (where we do have interests regarding our IT industry – a possible candidate would be Dan Nica), the economic portfolios remain “hot” as the buzz of Eurozone and economic integration is still present (and only someone with a very strong background, such as Mihai Tanasescu, could compete for a position), the enlargement and the neighbourhood policy post-Crimea (where Mircea Geoana, enjoying international prestige, could compensate for the fact that, alongside Bulgaria, we have been a problematic child of EU enlargement), the environment (eventually coupled with climate action) will be put under pressure by the desire of EU re-industrialisation (Rovana Plumb is in poll-position due to her expertise). Moreover, at least for the love of the negotiation game, we should prepare candidates for research/ innovation (after all, this is the economy of the future), regional funds and transport (as we have deficiencies in the field); the portfolio on energy would also prove its utility because the implementation of the latest energy package is vital in the new geopolitical European context.

For Romania, it won’t be easy at all to obtain a good portfolio if we don’t pay careful attention to a few key-points: counterbalancing the argument that we have already held an important portfolio (agriculture – since we also had a completely insignificant one: the multilingualism), the coordination between institutional actors (especially between the Palaces), promoting the best negotiators – those on the spot (the Permanent Representation of Romania to the EU needs a key-position), the smart management of our presence in the international media (on and off the record briefings with foreign correspondents will gain ground), achieving key-coalitions (so that those who back us up for the portfolios we want will are confident they will enjoy advantages in case of Romanian leadership). If we don’t follow these points, we are  going to be less visible in the European game and even less influent in the backstage. While formally occupying the seventh position as voting and representation power in Europe, in practice we are going to draw away from it, if we do not act strategically.

Finally, we can understand the human aspect of the negotiations between the two Palaces –the Governmental and the Presidential one – (each of them should have someone enjoying support), but the combat between personalities shouldn’t keep us from remembering one thing: it is important to have someone proudly representing us in Brussels (although we know the theory: the Commissioner is neutral) and who is ready to fight for our interests in the college of Commissioners. However, in the absence of a key-portfolio providing law-making power or influence, Mr. or Mrs. Romanian Commissioner won’t have enough ammunition to actually help his/ her country of origin.

 

 

 

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Romanian Space Agency and University Politehnica of Bucharest, joint workshop dedicated to identifying innovative solutions and facilitating partnerships between public and private actors in the fields of cybersecurity and space

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© ROSA

The Romanian Space Agency (ROSA) and the National University for Science and Technology Politehnica Bucharest, with the support of the EU Cybersecurity Competence Centre (ECCC), organised on Wednesday, 20 March, a workshop on “Cybersecurity and Advanced Space Technologies”, to explore innovative solutions and to stimulate strategic actions, as well as to facilitate the forging of partnerships between public and private actors in the fields of cybersecurity and space.

The workshop hosted by the National University for Science and Technology Politehnica Bucharest was held in a hybrid format, with the participation of representatives from academia, ROSA and ECCC, the Ministry of Internal Affairs, the Ministry of National Defence, the National Cyber Security Directorate, but also from the private sector, with companies such as certSIGN, Thales, CS Group Romania, Eviden or AROBS, which are active in the digital transformation, big data, encryption, software solutions development, electronics and cybersecurity markets.

The discussions, open to stakeholders from the industry, research sphere, academia and students of the National University for Science and Technology Politehnica Bucharest, focused on current trends in advanced space technologies, in particular on redefining and strategically strengthening the cyber resilience of critical infrastructures and services in space taking into account lessons learned from large-scale incidents on Earth; the role of technological innovation in preventing and countering cyber risks and threats, as well as managing future challenges and exploiting opportunities to create robust defence mechanisms.

Also, Romanian companies with a tradition in the IT&C field highlighted tangible results achieved for the development and innovation of the field and for the extension of technological solutions to the space domain, as well as the partnerships established with public and private stakeholders, both at national and European level, aimed at researching and developing innovative technological solutions for civil and military applications.

Finally, discussions also focused on the collaboration between the cybersecurity and space domains, with an emphasis on identifying the most appropriate pathways for cooperation between the two industries to address common cyber risks and challenges, e.g. based on a risk assessment model or through a cyber security operations centre serving entities in a common administrative area.

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Csaba Borboly, President of Harghita County Council and CoR rapporteur, supports the introduction of an infringement procedure against EU countries that do not seriously consider compensation for damage caused by large carnivores to livestock or crops

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© European Union / Fred Guerdin

Csaba Borboly, president of Harghita County Council and rapporteur of the European Committee of the Regions (CoR) for the draft opinion on ”Biodiversity protection and coexistence with large carnivores in Europe – challenges and opportunities for local and regional authorities”, supports, among other things, the introduction of an infringement procedure in European legislation against countries that do not take seriously the compensation of damage caused by large carnivores to livestock or crops.

At a local dialogue organised by Harghita County Council and the CoR on 8 March in Miercurea-Ciuc, Csaba Borboly discussed the need to strengthen EU action for a European policy on large carnivores, underlining the transnational nature of the issue of harmonious coexistence with these animals and calling for sustained efforts at European, national, regional and local level to find new ways for the sustainable and safe coexistence of farm animals, humans and large terrestrial, marine and flying carnivores.

Borboly stressed that dialogue with the European institutions is essential to promote these concerns at the European decision-making level. In addition to ongoing negotiations with the European Commission and the European Parliament, he said, regional and local authorities must be actively involved in the process of developing specific solutions. He also stressed the importance of supporting politicians who back these initiatives and underlined the desire to create a platform at the regional level in Harghita County to develop specific solutions.

“With the report, we are in permanent negotiations with the representatives of the European Commission, here I am referring first of all to the Directorate General for Environment where there is a department for biodiversity, and, besides, to the European Parliament where we try to support with arguments the work of the MEPs who support us, and at home we would like to achieve the creation of a regional platform for large carnivores in Harghita County in the framework of the new European platform for large carnivores, where we can elaborate specific solutions. We also hope that the Government and Parliament will consider these things, and in parallel, there are several analyses and studies on what is not working and how we could improve things, and we are trying to formulate amendments to the legislation. Then we go further to the European Union level, where we have the opportunity to present the report when there are preparatory discussions for the decision-making act, then we can regularly present it at the European big platform meetings and at several public policy debates. Now we have Hungary coming up for the EU Presidency in the summer and if the Hungarian Presidency finds the issue important enough to put it on the agenda, then we will most likely have better results. These are the directions we can take”, said the President of Harghita County Council, CoR rapporteur.

He also highlighted the need for a more coherent and coercive approach at the European level in terms of compliance with biodiversity conservation and habitat protection legislation. He stressed that the lack of enforcement levers in international legislation makes it difficult to implement and comply with these rules, insisting on the need to find effective ways to monitor and sanction Member States that do not fulfill their obligations.

“As I said, on many levels we are moving forward and so far we have been able to solve many things at home, for some we have also had political decisions and regulations, for others we have not. I don’t follow that path – what would happen if we didn’t do anything? – we are moving forward. What has changed from the previous report is that we have included a provision saying that it is not okay if a Member State does not take citizens’ problems seriously. There is a new element in this report, to see if we get support from Brussels to launch an infringement procedure against those states that are not serious about providing compensation and solving the whole problem. Because I have worked with many ministers here, all of whom were well-meaning, but somehow in Parliament, here and there, on the stairs of the Academy, some things got bogged down, not all of them, but some of them, and we see that if there is infringement for waste management and everyone takes the position of the righteous, the mayors are fined for things they did not do, or for waste dumps that were there for who knows when; if there is infringement for air, for water, then we need this infringement procedure on this subject too. I believe that the international legislative framework is not complete here, and there is no coercive leverage. We have levers, what species are protected, and how to protect them, but for Articles 14 and 16, for habitats, for ensuring they are respected, for ensuring that human life and health come first, we do not have any levers. This is why I am saying this, when we also have elections for the European Parliament and this is why I wanted to have this debate and I hope that the two representatives of the RMDSZ in the European Parliament will take up this issue”, explained Csaba Borboly.

Finally, Borboly expressed the hope that through sustained efforts at European level and the active involvement of local and regional stakeholders, it will be possible to find appropriate solutions to a complex problem such as the harmonious coexistence of humans, domestic animals, and large carnivores, thus contributing to the conservation of biodiversity and the protection of the interests of local communities.

“The mills are working slowly to solve this problem. Let’s hope that the Environment Ministry and Brussels will be more courageous on this issue. At the moment I don’t see a better solution for this, than just to work together, to collect data, because I see that things are getting simpler ‘to shoot or not to shoot’; if we stick to this it all gets bogged down. If we simplify things to protected-unprotected status again, things get stuck again. There are many facts that people don’t know because we don’t have data. We know how many birds there are at European level, but we don’t know how many bears, and we could list the rest of the things, the compensation, etc. In 2028 the new funding period starts at the EU level, there will be a lot of opportunities, but there is no point in going for separate money for large carnivores then because it is late. Now a solution is being prepared and at these events we attend I see that many geese beat a pig and somehow we have to put our opinion forward in the European Union”, concluded the President of the CJ Harghita and CoR rapporteur.

The event “Biodiversity protection and coexistence with large carnivores in Europe – Challenges and opportunities for local and regional authorities”, held in Miercurea-Ciuc, brought together numerous speakers and addressed various topics related to biodiversity conservation and the relationship with large carnivores.

During the first part of the dialogue, European perspectives were discussed, with presentations and debates given by key figures such as Csaba Borboly, President of Harghita County Council, László Csák, expert, and Robert Zeman from the European Committee of the Regions. Other notable participants were MEP Herbert Dorfmann and Dr Miklós Heltai, Director of the MATE Wildlife Management Institute.

The second part of the dialogue focused on the situation in Romania and Harghita County, with presentations by officials such as Gabriel Oltean, Ministerial Advisor, and specialists such as Dr. Róbert Szép from the Research and Development Institute for Wildlife Management and Mountain Resources. Also included were perspectives from civil society, represented by Levente Miklós and Hadnagy Lehel.

The dialogue also included video messages from Professor Dr. Ovidiu Ionescu and Dr. Valeria Salvatore, who made important contributions related to the presentation of the Harghita County Regional Platform.

Moderated by journalist Dan Cărbunaru, the event focused on bringing together local and regional authorities, scientific experts and other stakeholders to share experiences and ideas on biodiversity conservation and coexistence with large carnivores, taking into account the Romanian legislative context. Professional presentations and networking sessions resulted in a better understanding of current challenges and possible solutions, as well as the creation of new connections and exchange of ideas among participants.

 

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Harghita County Council and the European Committee of the Regions organise a local dialogue on biodiversity protection and coexistence with large carnivores in Europe (LIVE, 8 March, 09.00)

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© Consiliul Județean Harghita

Harghita County Council, together with the European Committee of the Regions (CoR), is organising a local dialogue in Miercurea-Ciuc on Friday, 8 March 2024 on the protection of biodiversity and the coexistence of large carnivores in Europe, based on the draft opinion of CoR on this issue, coordinated by the President of Harghita County Council, Csaba Borboly (EPP-RO), as rapporteur.

Entitled “Biodiversity protection and coexistence with large carnivores in Europe – Challenges and opportunities for local and regional authorities –“, the event will start at 09.00 and will be broadcast LIVE on CaleaEuropeană.ro and on the Calea Europeană Facebook page.

 

The event will address both the European, national, and local dimensions of the topic. The full agenda is available here.

The first part of the dialogue will address the European perspective and will start with a presentation by the rapporteur, President of CJ Harghita Csaba Borboly, followed by a debate with László Csák, who will present the expert’s point of view, and Robert Zeman (CZ/ECR), shadow rapporteur at the European Committee of the Regions.

The panel will also include MEP Herbert Dorfmann and Dr Miklós Heltai, Director of the MATE Wildlife Management Institute.

The second part of the dialogue will address “Protection of biological diversity and coexistence with large carnivores in Romania and Harghita County”. This panel will include:

– Gabriel Oltean, Ministerial Advisor, Ministry of Environment, Water and Forests;

– Levente Miklós, Rural Development Association of Harghita County Council, on “Wildlife damage caused by brown bears in Harghita County. Aggregated data of the last ten years”;

– Director Dr. Róbert Szép, Research and Development Institute for Wildlife and Mountain Resources Management, on “Practical research results of the Institute for Research and Development of Wildlife and Mountain Resources”;

– Hadnagy Lehel, Engineer, Silos Hunting Association, on “To shoot or not to shoot – the situation of bears through the eyes of a game manager in Harghita”;

During this panel, Professor Dr. Ovidiu Ionescu, ICAS, and Dr. Valeria Salvatore, ecologist, Institute of Applied Ecology, Italy, will deliver video messages on “Regional platform support in meeting the challenges posed by coexistence with large carnivores in 2024”.

The local dialogue is moderated by journalist Dan Cărbunaru, director of CaleaEuropeană.ro.

The aim of the event is to bring together local and regional authorities, scientific experts, and stakeholders, providing an opportunity to share experiences and ideas on biodiversity conservation and coexistence with large carnivores, considering Romanian legislation.

Professional presentations in various fields will contribute to a deeper understanding of current challenges and possible solutions, while networking sessions will provide an opportunity to make new connections and exchange ideas.

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